Adam Marblestone – AI is missing something fundamental about the brain
Adam Marblestone – AI is missing something fundamental about the brain
The brain's secret sauce is its reward functions, not its architecture.
What are we scaling?
An audio version of my blog post, Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)
Sarah Paine – Why Russia Lost the Cold War
Sarah Paine – Why Russia Lost the Cold War
Oil crisis, Sino-Soviet split, ethnic rebellions, and arms build-up
Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)
Why I'm moderately bearish in the short term, and explosively bullish in the long term
Podcast Strategy Doc (December 2025)
Back to The Lunar Society mission
Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research
“These models somehow just generalize dramatically worse than people. It's a very fundamental thing.”
RL is even more information inefficient than you thought
And implications for RLVR progress
Satya Nadella — How Microsoft is preparing for AGI
Plus a tour of Fairwater 2, the most powerful AI datacenter in the world
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise
Plus, where Russia and China go from here
Thoughts on the AI buildout
Fab CapEx overhang, 1 GW a week, China privileged in long timelines, and much else
Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away
"The problems are tractable, but they're still difficult”
Nick Lane – Life as we know it is chemically inevitable
Life is continuous with Earth’s geochemistry
Some thoughts on the Sutton interview
I have a much better understanding of Sutton’s vision now
On The Vital Question by Nick Lane
Life is continuous with Earth's geochemistry??
Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead end
Watch now (66 mins) | LLMs aren’t Bitter-Lesson-pilled
Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – Sergey Levine
Plus, how VLA models work, self-improvement from deployment, and China’s hardware advantage
How Hitler almost starved Britain – Sarah Paine
“The only thing that really frightened me during the war was the U-boat peril” – Winston Churchill
Evolution designed us to die fast; we can change that — Jacob Kimmel
Is the answer already in our genome?
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer
Plus, how solar fits into the next 10 years
Artificial meat is harder than artificial intelligence — Lewis Bollard
“Chickens are unbeatable at converting grain into protein”